The Markov Transition Constraint

نویسندگان

  • Michael Morin
  • Claude-Guy Quimper
چکیده

We introduce a novel global Markov transition constraint (Mtc) to model finite state homogeneous Markov chains. We present two algorithms to filter the variable domains representing the imprecise probability distributions over the state space of the chain. The first filtering algorithm is based on the fractional knapsack problem and the second filtering algorithm is based on linear programming. Both of our filtering algorithms compare favorably to the filtering performed by solvers when decomposing an Mtc into arithmetic constraints. Cases where the fractional knapsack decomposition enforces bounds consistency are discussed whereas the linear programming filtering always perform bounds consistency. We use the Mtc constraint to model and solve a problem of path planning under uncertainty.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Transitional Dynamics of Business Cycles in Iran: Markov Switching Model with Time Varying Transition Probabilities (MS-TVTP)

The business cycles are one of the most important economic indicators that they show the changes in economic activities during time. The study of business cycles is important because the understanding fluctuations in GDP and effective factors on these fluctuations help policy makers to plan better and more efficient. The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of oil price shoc...

متن کامل

Empirical Bayes Estimation in Nonstationary Markov chains

Estimation procedures for nonstationary Markov chains appear to be relatively sparse. This work introduces empirical  Bayes estimators  for the transition probability  matrix of a finite nonstationary  Markov chain. The data are assumed to be of  a panel study type in which each data set consists of a sequence of observations on N>=2 independent and identically dis...

متن کامل

Evaluation of First and Second Markov Chains Sensitivity and Specificity as Statistical Approach for Prediction of Sequences of Genes in Virus Double Strand DNA Genomes

Growing amount of information on biological sequences has made application of statistical approaches necessary for modeling and estimation of their functions. In this paper, sensitivity and specificity of the first and second Markov chains for prediction of genes was evaluated using the complete double stranded  DNA virus. There were two approaches for prediction of each Markov Model parameter,...

متن کامل

Monetary Fundamental-Based Exchange Rate Model in Iran: Applying a MS-TVTP Approach

T he main purpose of this article is to analyze exchange rate behavior based on monetary fundamentals in the context of Iranian economy over the period 1990:2 to 2014:3. To do so, two monetary exchange rate models is investigated, the first by regarding interest rate differential as a monetary variable, and the second one regardless of interest rate differential as a monetary variabl...

متن کامل

An Optimal Tax Relief Policy with Aligning Markov Chain and Dynamic Programming Approach

Abstract In this paper, Markov chain and dynamic programming were used to represent a suitable pattern for tax relief and tax evasion decrease based on tax earnings in Iran from 2005 to 2009. Results, by applying this model, showed that tax evasion were 6714 billion Rials**. With 4% relief to tax payers and by calculating present value of the received tax, it was reduced to 3108 billion Rials. ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2014